[1400063515] [9781400063512] The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto)-Hardcover
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[1400063515] [9781400063512] The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto)-Hardcover

by Unknown Author

Business Science
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The Black Swan delves into the impact of highly improbable events that defy prediction yet profoundly alter history, finance, and society. It critiques our reliance on Gaussian models and advocates for a robust approach to uncertainty, highlighting how rare occurrences drive major changes while remaining invisible to standard analysis.

About This Book

The Black Swan examines the impact of highly improbable events, known as Black Swans, which carry massive consequences yet are often overlooked in traditional models of prediction and risk assessment.

Drawing from philosophy, mathematics, and real-world examples, the book challenges conventional thinking about uncertainty and randomness in human affairs.

It argues that our tools for understanding the world fail to account for these outliers, leading to flawed decisions in various domains.

Part of the Incerto series, this work encourages a deeper appreciation for the role of the unexpected in shaping outcomes.

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